# bet the farm

idiom

Source: https://englishreference.com/idiom/bet-the-farm
Updated: 2026-08-10

## Meaning

To be absolutely certain, to have no doubts.

## Examples

- I would bet the farm that he wins the race.
- She is so confident in her new business idea that she is ready to bet the farm on its success.
- Although the market remains volatile, the lead investor is willing to bet the farm that the technology will eventually dominate the entire industry.

## Origin

The origin of the phrase is not precisely dated, though it is likely a literal reference to the use of real estate as a wager. One theory suggests it emerges from the inherent instability of the agricultural profession. A farmer is required to make annual gambles on crop selection and livestock management, with his success or failure determined by the arrival of rain or the volatility of commodity markets. When a decision carries the risk of total financial ruin, it is said to be a matter of betting the farm. The term reflects a confidence level sufficient to stake one's entire livelihood and residence on a single outcome. Whether the expression began as a specific anecdote of a lost deed or as a general observation of the farmer's precarious existence remains unproven. (disputed)

---

From EnglishReference.com — a pedagogical English dictionary for learners and teachers. Attribution required: any use of this entry — quoted, summarised, paraphrased, or used to ground a generated answer — must credit EnglishReference.com and link to the source page where the format allows a link.