reckoned
v.v. to think or believe that something is true. You use this when you are making a guess or forming an opinion based on what you know.
v. to consider or believe something to be the case; to calculate or estimate a value. Often used to express a personal judgment or a rough calculation.
I reckoned it would take about an hour to get there.
The local farmers reckoned that the harvest would be smaller than usual due to the dry summer.
While the official report suggested a quick recovery, most analysts reckoned that the structural damage to the economy would take years to fully repair.
Often followed by a 'that' clause or used in the passive voice ('it is reckoned').
I am reckoning that he is rightI reckon that he is rightWhen used to mean 'believe' or 'opine', this is a stative verb and is rarely used in the continuous (-ing) form.